As mentioned in our, last Fearsome Three podcast
the Russians have secretly mobilized 500,000 reservists and will strike
towards Kiev from Belarus. Belarus will pin the flanks. Russia has
brought in large numbers of North Korean mercenaries right as the Big
Brain Trump fantasist regime pulls it’s carriers out of east Asia.
Odessa will be taken on the Black Sea, completely choking the Ukraine
off.
The weather currently offers about a six week intense combat window. The analog is the September 1, 1939 Polish invasion by Germany.
The risk for Europe will be if Poland and the Baltic States interfere with this operation. No more fighting just with the last Ukrainian. European air defenses have been depleted and the US has been denutted in it’s Israeli war on Iran misadventure.
https://www.winterwatch.net/2026/08/european-war-about-to-go-into-overdive/
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